Biodiesel Technology We adopt pair of American energy policy comb the introduction that develops a case with industry of diesel oil of matter of analysis, opposite, right advocate produce a country (the country that main use soya-bean oil regards raw material as, namely the United States, Brazil and Argentina) investment of biology derv supply and demand, raw material, produce the analysis of the circumstance such as utilization rate, can right biology derv produces cost / profit (it is with the United States exemple) analysis, reach the following conclusion:
Set out from energy policy angle, telangpu although the government returns to the mainstream mode of American energy policy (the mode) that gives priority to with fossil fuel namely, but stem from many sided consideration, predict to also won’t abandon be opposite federally but the development of second birth the sources of energy and support, it is the manner tends conservative; pledges as a result of biology the sources of energy is in only proportion can be held in second birth the sources of energy very small, so the influence of qualitative to biology the sources of energy predicts finite. If set out from agricultural policy angle again, support to the policy of biology derv or belong to the support to agriculture, belong to country of agricultural high subsidy considering the United States, so, still can expect to the allowance policy of biology derv federally.
From biology derv development angle sets out, the development of derv of biology of current whole world has entered the phase that develops steadily. The country that produces main raw material as biology derv from use soya-bean oil (the United States, Brazil, Argentine) set out, the production of its biology derv and consumption appear to increase a current steadily, the use capacity of soya-bean oil appears increase a current, produce can the trend that utilization rate also presents step up. To the United States, but standard of second birth fuel (RFS) is main driving force, hopeful assures 2017-2022 year during the development; of biology derv industry to Argentina, biology derv exit has an advantage, the production 2017 and exit all maintain growth beforehand appraise.
From biology derv cost / profit angle sets out, if American government offers the policy of biology derv allowance that includes to reduce tax inside again, gain level expands, be helpful for accelerating production, profit good impact is self-evident if; does not provide the measure that reduce tax, current gain level also already by is lost become a full member (perhaps be in ascendant trend) , biology derv production predicts to will carry the state of steady growth, manufacturing amplification just needs longer, need market mechanism will digest. At the appointed time the development of biology derv will be to grow speed to be mixed quickly slow distinction, but the way that growth still can maintain on direction. (Guo Taijun brings futures institute)