wholesale Biodiesel Production Line Brazil mixes standard of rate executive B7 with mix into of diesel oil of matter of a future life from November 2014. 5 Brazil senate was passed last week in future mix into of derv of shift living things goes up to mix stage by stage inside 36 months rate to the act of 10% , brazilian president will be in future signs this bill inside 15 days, once become effective, did not come the mix into inside 12 months mixes scale general by current 7% on move to 8% , will go up further inside 24 subsequently months move to 10% . Brazilian this action is main the purpose is to reduce home to import derv amount, managing dollar is laid in, also will cause an effect to supply and demand of Brazilian home soja at the same time, below the article will be brief analysis.
From conduct a way to go up for, raise biology derv mix into to mix the consumption that leading what affect above all is biology derv to increase, conduct by consumption again to crop, soya-bean oil regards production as the main raw material of biology derv, its dosage also can increase subsequently, drive domestic soja to compress thereby the quantity increases.
Crop of Brazilian biology derv was 3.46 million tons 2015, use as 15 years the soya-bean oil dosage that produces biology diesel oil is 2.67 million tons, occupy than 77% , assume 16 years soya-bean oil is occupied than still be 77% , and lay level of add of bavin help by the arm 16 years promote B8 from B7, criterion the increment =16 of the unripe bavin dosage of soya-bean oil year derv consumption * (8%-7% ) *77% .
Suppose consumption of 16 years of derv is changeless, increment is the unripe bavin dosage that can roll out 16 years of soya-bean oil 380 thousand tons, again conversion compresses for soja the quantity is 1.9 million tons about.
But because Brazilian country economy is stagnant, 15 years consumption of Brazilian home derv had appeared to glide, and predict 16 years glide the trend still will continue. Consumption of Brazilian home derv decreased 16 years January 17% , it is 3.94 billion litres about, was Feburary 2012 the lowermost level since the portion. Because this analyses 380 thousand tons soya-bean oil to give birth to the increment of bavin dosage to belong to above us,slant hopeful beforehand appraise, actual dosage may want under this beforehand appraise level.
Supply as a result of Brazilian home soja enough, although compress,the quantity increases 1.9 million tons, we think the likelihood won’t push the exit amount that takes soja, reflect however drop for inventory, interest of effect of main to supply and demand of Brazilian home soja side is much, brazilian soja exit rises agio to may appear rise, but the gross as a result of 1.9 million tons is not big, the influence is relatively accordingly finite.