Biodiesel Production Line suppliers Add of American alcohol mix into is close 10% , upper limit of add of European Union mix into only 7% , and Brazil executes fuel competition. Global alcohol fuel was occupied 2020 than will be being amounted to 6.5% , long-term approachable 8% . Project of business of cellulose alcohol industry has progress, biology aviation fuel shows diversity progress. ¡¡¡¡
International oil price issues defeat to produce mixed effect to industry of global biology fuel considerably. On one hand, some countries use biology fuel to pass legislation mostly, it is mandatory regulation, although economically not be to one’s profit, the market also must purchase biology fuel. On the other hand, in current difficulty the condition falls, set compulsively somewhat comfortable. In the market of fuel of biology of add of free mix into, demand may be atrophic.
Fuel of biology of policy drive whole world develops
Report of IHS special subject is forecasted, add of alcohol mix into measured the United States to drop somewhat 2015, the alcohol that oil of refine factory production tastes base but label of second birth the sources of energy is counted (RIN) can be reduced somewhat, on the market overall still be close to the mix into add of 10% to compare. In Asian market, add of mix into of biology fuel freedom, although have Indonesian with Thailand such country, opposite content fuel gives political support, but on the whole biology fuel progress is slower.
Policy and economy continue the production of opposite content fuel and market permeate play main effect. The United States but standard of second birth fuel (RFS) still is world alcohol demand the mainest driving force, this is compulsive regulation, add of the mix into in American benzine is many alcohol fuel. Current RFS should be carried out 2022, in recent years as a result of infrastructure problem, limitted amount of add of mix into of American petrolic alcohol. Low oil price spurs growth of American gasoline demand, conduce to increase alcohol consumption, can more E10 benzine enters the market this year.
In Brazil, biology fuel suffers stimulation of agile fuel car, and all sorts of policy that raise biology fuel requirement are pulled move. In experienced sudden economy after growth period, brazil already became the 2nd big alcohol of world to consume a country. Especially sales promotion of governmental success ground is agile fuel car, the alcohol that this kind of car can use any mix into add to compare / gasoline fuel. Brazil executes fuel competition mechanism, gas station is supplied at the same time pure alcohol and mixture benzine.
The European Union passes a law through old debate, limitation produces biology fuel with grain crop, the land that attention causes from this uses indirect variation, promote advanced biology fuel. Nevertheless IHS thinks, it is as a result of upper limit of add of mix into of fuel of European Union biology 7% , add of mix into of advanced biology fuel also does not have compulsive regulation, its law action returns the biology fuel that puts forward at first as European Union committee and European parliament to ask to suggest. #p#·ÖÒ³±êÌâ#e#
Biology alcohol and biology derv demand increase
IHS estimation, to 2030 global oil base carriage fuel demand will exceed 50 million pails of oily equivalent, because economy grows,basically retain with the car the volume rises. After 2030, as fuel economy improvement, main growth market (like China) tend saturated, fuel demand increases rein in.
Predict 2030, alcohol consumes demand side in fuel (namely alcohol of add of the mix into in benzine) will exceed 2 million pails / day. North America still is area of maximum of world alcohol consumption, but limitation of mix into add and growth of standard fuel demand are unhappy. Be in Latin America, brazil is become draw the main power that uses global demand growth, but industry encounters a trouble, the growth of the near future is met rein in. Look from the whole world, to 2020 alcohol fuel is occupied arrive than will promoting 6.5% the left and right sides, long-term approachable 8% .
Predict 2030, demand of global biology fuel will be added reach 800 thousand pails / day, after this can tend gently. Because Europe carries out height derv is changed and but target of guidance of second birth the sources of energy, will continue to make the whole world market of derv of main live thing. Nevertheless, as fuel efficiency rise, in the long run European demand can drop. Biology derv regards highway transportation as fuel, global demand growth is slow, highest less than 4% .
Cellulose ethanol production has not become dimensions
Cellulose alcohol industry although somewhat backwater, commercial project still has greater progress. Business obtained a breakthrough with cellulose alcohol 2014, the United States built alcohol radical accordingly but label of second birth the sources of energy is counted (RIN) , have trial production of factory of POET forerunner project, already a few lesser device begin to produce RIN cellulose alcohol. In Brazil, already had go into operation of unit of ethanol of two exit cellulose, export the United States by RFS standard.
Although these projects calculate,go up the important milestone that cellulose alcohol develops, but should accomplish an amount considerable, run reliable, economy feasible, examine truly this year. 2014 American project be thwarted, the KiOR item that produces steam diesel oil with lumber waste material and blame grain crop puts forward to go bankrupt protection. As crude price considerably fall after a rise, BP will announce to stop to invest to cellulose alcohol project last year in December.
In Italy, company of second birth energy will announce the Beidake of alcohol of cellulose of production of European exclusive commercial scale last year in December, the plan builds 3 to produce per year 100 litres / year cellulose ethanol plant. As Europe the first regulation uses the country of fiber biology fuel, carrying trade of Italian requirement traffic uses fiber biology fuel at least 1.2% . Plant of fuel of alcohol of Finnish Suomen biology got the government aids financially acceptance last year, build plant of ethanol of 9000 litres of cellulose, it is raw material with papermaking flotsam. This factory and American POET cooperate. #p#·ÖÒ³±êÌâ#e#
Brazilian Raizen company recently put into production 1000 gallon / year cellulose ethanol plant, allege should build the 2nd product line. As long-term strategy, to 2024 this company should build product line of 8 cellulose alcohol. The company believes, have technology unit relatively, new clothes buy passes dimensions to change, use efficiency taller ferment, can reduce capital cost 30% , operation cost 20% .
Biology aviation fuel still is developing inchoate
Carbolic tax abolished in Australia, the European Union laid aside those who be aimed at airlines of blame Europe nation to discharge trade after the mechanism, people is right but the interest that second birth the sources of energy makes aviation fuel is not decreased, especially a way that a few superintendency orgnaizations regard aviation industry as to decrease a platoon this.
This year in March, arrange of American environmental protection takes the lead in putting forward to want to manage aviation to discharge, want to decide greenhouse gas discharges the plane to whether can cause pollution, endanger public health and happiness and benefit thereby. Airborne association is considering international to carry out greenhouse gas actively to reduce a plan, include biology fuel, pay close attention to and build dog examination method.
Current, biology fuel investment presents diversity, much area, different technique, different raw material. If be in Brazil, california Amyris company and Daodaer produce a law with carbohydrate compound Xi, repass hydrogenation gives birth to aviation fuel. Company of British Solena fuel adopts synthetic aerification technique, fill preparation the rubbish of urban solid state that bury or burns becomes liquid fuel. In China and India, abandoning oil to produce biology fuel with cooking.