Biodiesel Production Line suppliers Office of American energy information (EIA) data shows, between 2014, the price of American biology derv dropped 5% , alcohol price dropped 25% ; Annulus compared the crop of portion biology fuel to drop in January 2015 41% .
Nevertheless, if consider the corresponding period exceeds low sulfur derv and petrolic value,dropped 50% above, and the production of biology fuel is had seasonal, this year in January, the output of American biology fuel fell only compared to the same period 1% . Cause biology fuel price and production to fight drop presentative prime cause, because policy holds a bottom in the palm,be.
Because American government asks compulsively to mix biology fuel in derv and benzine, the accretion of demand of derv of the steam after oil price drops, the demand that drove biology fuel increases, the yield that increases American biology fuel is finite, because this price just did not appear,the bluff type like oil drops.
It is actually in all sorts of substitute of fossil fuel, suffer this oil price to drop the impact is the biggest is biology fuel. Because industry of American biology fuel is,upsurge in oil price, supply not stable, need what the development below safe circumstance rises to safeguard national energy resources, in current environment, biology fuel has done not have any competition ability almost. The view it may be said of foreground of fuel of content of the opposite on American market bleak, whether can have people disappeared in discussion biology fuel even.
Those who freeze 3 feet are not a day is cold, one promotes American biology fuel recently of swift and violent development the mainest because of,move, was 2007 ” law of energy independent safety ” medium but standard of second birth fuel. This standard requirement must mix fuel of certain proportional live thing to the middle of fossil fuel, oil price goes quickly high at that time, people forecasts oil price to be able to exceed every pails of 200 dollars even, then large quantities of one biology fuel produce project mount a horse.
Shaly revolution also is in almost be ignited inside period of time together, what nevertheless its develop is the method of market drive. As the development of relevant technology, a large number of congenial capital swarm into domain of shaly oil gas, the technology is obtained ceaselessly perfect with improve, extract cost also is reduced continuously. But the corresponding period, the technology of biology fuel did not progress apparently however, with hydraulic fracture technical comparing rises, the manufacturing technology of biology fuel does not consider go up mature even, because this is advanced,a few years the market environment of high oil price falls, capital swarms into shaly industry in succession, and biology fuel project faces financing difficulty however. Can say, compare with shale oil photograph, biology fuel of the United States is defeated almost was in on the scratch line.
Because the manufacturing technology of biology fuel did not resemble shale oil gaining revolutionary headway in that way, because the manufacturing cost of this biology fuel did not fall all the time, of oil price steep fall tore apart the appearance with biology luxuriant fuel finally. #p#·ÖÒ³±êÌâ#e#
In fact, in the substitute of numerous rocky oil, of biology fuel supersede function the most apparent, because oil and biology fuel serve as the sources of energy to basically be used at traffic domain, so both the concern that having direct competition, this one relation is most sensitive also to the price. Be in the United States, the raw material that is used at producing biology fuel basically is the crop such as soja, corn. The personage inside course of study estimates, go 5 years, the biology fuel project that almost all United States builds is to build what exceed every pails of 80 dollars in oil price beforehand on appraise, oil price drops inside a year nowadays had exceeded 50% , but of crop price drop have petrolic only about however half, because this analysis basically thinks, biology fuel is produced in American home already complete profitless.
the industry that opposite content fuel rises this by development of governmental power dominant, on policy can affect its to develop prospect more than low oil price feebly. But of misfortunes never come singly is, oil price drops to be worth American government doubt to whether need to continue to support biology fuel energetically on policy, the most apparent paradigmatic the fuel of biology of this year complete beauty that should announce by arrange of American environmental protection namely uses the forehead to spend an end already postpone again and again. As shale oil a large number of yielding, the United States is right entrance oil, depend on from petrolic of middle east entrance especially reduce quickly, prop up the political environment that industry of this government dominant grows a biology fuel to disappearing quickly in those days.
Basis ” financial times ” summary, biology fuel industry grows in the United States rise, basically rely on the support of three-ply politics force at first: Environmental protection creed person, farmer, and organization of energy security go canvassing. Now, environmental protection creed person had supported biology fuel no longer, because consider to discover later, development biology fuel not only did not reduce carbon to discharge, increase badlier instead. The prosperity of shale oil also needs biology fuel to defend safety of the sources of energy no longer, the United States must have not been put more now from yield crude oil fell. So, remain a farmer to still support biology fuel in firm ground only so far. Perhaps, current and exclusive lucky namely, there still is the powerful politics interest that bears biology fuel inside United States Congress, they still pass the bill that invests derate taxes for biology fuel in effort. If the oil price this year is like what office of American energy information forecasts to be in in that way really,every pails of 60 dollars wander up and down, so this year between each interest group, struggle around the politics of biology fuel between government and congress will become unusually intense.
Actually, the manufacturing technology of biology fuel progresses actually very big, the advanced biology fuel with the greatest strength supports on policy especially, in the time that for instance the cost of alga biology fuel is in 3 years many already from every gallon 240 dollars acute fell 7.5 dollars, ministry hope can be in American the sources of energy every gallon falls cost further before 2019 5 dollars (be equivalent to 210 dollars / bucket) . But to consumer, its pay close attention to core is the price, be in only high oil price when, consumer just can be interested in biology fuel, very difficult imagination falls in current market and political environment, besides the government still which investor is willing to invest biology fuel. So, the person that industry of fuel of biology of United States of all now attention recruits is awaiting environmental protection sign protracted the biology fuel that just will announce to June 1 uses the forehead spend an end, perhaps analyse a personage to great majority for, new target wants only not more too much than be being differred last time had been huge benefit good. To content fuel manufacturer of the United States, extending overseas market quickly just perhaps is to get live the method with development. Actually a lot of manufacturers already so doing, 2014, alcohol export of the United States increased 31% , it is the record that comes 3 years. (the author is researcher of engage by special arrangement of center of international of committee of China energy fund)#p#·ÖÒ³±êÌâ#e#
