Biodiesel Technology Recently, national hair changes appoint, the 15 branches such as bureau of national energy resources combine print and distribute ” be produced about enlarging biology fuel alcohol and popularize use car to implement plan with alcohol petrolic ” (the following abbreviation ” plan ” ) , just be paid close attention to extensively each by the market. According to plan, to 2020, car of will basic implementation uses alcohol gas inside countrywide limits enclothe completely.
Many personage inside course of study expresses, as ” plan ” formal be born, hopeful of future of biology fuel alcohol welcomes more interest good policy, drive an industry to develop further. Pull in the demand of biology fuel alcohol move below, corn goes inventory also will be advanced quickly. Pattern of corn supply and demand is turned round can form to corn price prop up apparently, drive bearing of integral trade situation to pick up thereby.
Conduce of alcohol benzine promotion goes inventory
Basis ” plan ” content, its put forward clearly to popularized use car to use alcohol gas inside countrywide limits 2020, basic implementation is enclothed completely; To 2025, strive dimensions of cellulose alcohol implementation turns production.
In the meantime, ” plan ” emphasize wanting to be on base of safety of safeguard country food, home of base oneself upon is supplied, science advances production of biology fuel ethanol and car to be used with alcohol benzine promotion in order, exert oneself processing exceeds period commissariat exceeding bid, develop the advanced biology liquid fuel such as cellulose fuel alcohol energetically.
The basis publishs a material, ” daily economy news ” the reporter notices, at present the production of alcohol of fuel of domestic live thing still is given priority to with the commissariat raw material such as corn.
Specific and character, according to the development process of technology and craft, biology fuel alcohol can be divided for 3 generation. The 1st generation is raw material with the commissariat such as corn, wheat; The 1.5th Dai Yimu potato, sugar cane, sweet the economic crop such as broomcorn bine stalk is raw material; The 2nd generation is raw material with the cellulose material such as corn straw. Current, alcohol of fuel of our country biology is produced can 2.51 million tons, among them 3 acting technologies occupy score to be 81% , 15% with 4% . Will on average look, produce alcohol of 1 ton of biology to need 3 tons of or so corn.
Look from actual condition, at present industry of alcohol of fuel of our country Shang Zaisheng content develops level, manufacturing technology day attain mature. According to data of bureau of national energy resources, crop of alcohol of fuel of our country biology is 2.6 million tons about, occupy in crop of global fuel alcohol than 3% , row the 3rd. With the United States 44.1 million tons (58% ) with Brazil 21.28 million tons (28% ) crop has apparent difference.
Domestic corn stockpile is at present tall look forward to, inventory of Chu Yu rice predicts the country to still be as high as 200 million tons. As the Ministry of Agriculture tone decreases corn to grow an area, and production of ethanol of fuel of our country current organisms is given priority to with the raw material such as corn wait for a reason, alcohol petrolic promotion conduces to corn going inventory. #p#·ÖÒ³±êÌâ#e#
According to analyst of wide hair negotiable securities Hui Yulun is calculated, to 2020 total output of biology fuel alcohol reachs 12 million ton hour, when corn alcohol the permeability in fuel alcohol is respectively 15% , 30% , 50% and 60% when, by yield lead 0.32 computation, use up corn dosage to be 5.63 million tons respectively, 11.25 million tons, 18.75 million tons mix 22.5 million tons.
Equestrian article peak accepts analyst of moxa case agriculture ” daily economy news ” when the reporter is interviewed, express, basis ” plan ” , biology fuel alcohol to 2020 by save area promotion 11 times to come to visit an area entirely currently, consumption reachs 12 million tons by 2.6 million tons of growth. Among them, corn consumption will occupy dominant, will increase the consumption of corn considerably so.
Corn goes stock rate exceeds anticipate
Look from actual condition, since 2015, corn makes kind of course of study suffer generally tired decrease at demand, the adverse element such as industry boom be issued to lower levels, its are direct the reason is corn price low fan bring about those who cultivate enthusiasm to drop.
Future, biology fuel alcohol enlarges production to be helpful for digesting corn stockpile, stable corn price and grow an area. And reform of sex of structure of side of corn market supply is the another big main reason that bearing of stimulative corn scene picks up.
By last year, han Changfu of minister of Ministry of Agriculture ever expressed, will continue to move 2017 decrease “ hook to bend the blame advantage such as ” to produce area corn acreage 10 million mus, accumulative total attune decreases gross to strive for achieve 40 million mus.
A few days ago, yang Zhenhai of secretary-general of association of industry of feed of head of a station of countrywide pasturage terminal, China is making public a circumstance to express, “2020 year tone reduces corn acreage 50 million mus of above, anticipate from gross go up to reduce corn crop growth considerably, undertake going on fountainhead inventory; And of industry of corn deep treatment anabiosis and the comprehensive promotion of fuel alcohol, also become corn to go the another fundamental strength of inventory. ”
Yang Zhenhai expresses further, corn closes store policy also produced major change 10 years in the past, from carry out face store buy cancel, arrive again execute “ to commercialize buy + allowance ” policy, domestic corn price conforms gradually to domestic and international price from price of pay taxes of the import inside prep above quota, had certain international competition ability. Domestic commissariat supply and demand by long-term in the past supply deficiency, to supply and demand is at present main balance and even level sex, structure sex is superfluous change.
Notable is, return to the market as corn price, the cost of industry of deep treatment of downstream aquaculture, corn will be reduced significantly, arouse market vigor and industry passion further thereby. #p#·ÖÒ³±êÌâ#e#
Ma Wenfeng expresses to the reporter, to corn price, because be supplied by the whole world and macroscopical economy influence, so prospective international and home will appear a favourable turn. Alcohol of our country fuel plans rolling out is more quicken and sit solid the foundation that corn price picks up, predict new October food appears on the market in great quantities will apparent prep above last year price of the corresponding period, and of China and world commissariat price pick up to be helpful for economy anabiosis.
Nevertheless, yang Zhenhai reminds at the same time, our country is a big country, although stock is more expensive, once the market anticipates,produce change, inventory is digested also meet very fast, current corn goes stock rate is exceeded greatly anticipate. Accordingly, still want to hold to bottom line thinking, the basic premise that makes sure food safety and produce available supply serve as reform, avoid food stock to appear big coast, guard food safety bottom line.