wholesale Biodiesel Production Line Observation cause
Recently a year many, in crude oil guide below, numerous heavy goods is immersed in the whole world drop drop endlessly odd group, this is including one many agriculture products among them (11.75 -0.09% , buy) people.
Apparently look, without what crude oil and produce are associated, but actually, as attribute of crude oil finance highlight increasingly, it has been used to become one of target that measure market inflation by increasing ground, its go up drop to be able to affect produce necessarily. In the meantime, because crude oil is one of basic raw material of numerous production industry, agricultural production and the agriculture machinery that in carrying, use, pesticide, chemical fertilizer, fuel, have its figure, so the price of crude oil also can adopt manufacturing chain, affecting produce price secondhand.
Besides above these two, in numerous produce breed, still having a few breed and crude oil deeper dispute. This is the related to biology fuel variety that we should say today, corn, grease and candy.
Crude market
Crude oil after all how?
This should speak of from 2014. That year, wu Kelan civil strife and Russia bring into Kelimiya Russian Federation, make an appointment with a country to form antagonism with the United States and north, the United States and north undertake to his punish made the direct fuse that oil price drops associated about, pulled open crude market prolonged steep fall prelusive.
In June 2014, futures of crude oil of market of American new York is 106 dollars / bucket, arrived on December 16, steep fall to 53.6 dollars / the low of the bucket, drop panel height is amounted to 55% , break on October 1, 2005 54 dollars / of the bucket low. Picked up somewhat first half of the year 2015, but signed as 6 countries and Iran final ” collective and overall action plans ” , crude price enters passageway of be issued to lower levels again, and the power that quite billow the Yangtse River is not answered.
The prime cause no more than of crude price suffer a disastrous decline is supply exceeds demand.
Supply end, organization of Europe admire gram and blame are be locked in a stalemate of contention market share between Ou Peike country, hold to not reduction of output, this caused crude oil supply inside short time superfluous. In the meantime, have the Iran that the crude oil reserve of 10% and the natural gas of nearly 20% lay in the whole world to be after punish lift a ban, will naturally become another to not allow the increase production force of small gaze. Carry with the supply of in full swing contrary, consumption carries delicate. Put delay as global economy, the market also is in to the demand of oil gas drop, this creates the situation that global crude oil begs for be more than.
Be pressed to get breathless oil price to be obliged to drop again. Up-to-date, everybody still is awaiting the news of oil price sole.
Observation conclusion: Beg the explore below crude oil for be more than abysmal#p#·ÖÒ³±êÌâ#e#
Biology fuel is relevant produce market
Some closer year of arisen biology fuel be be comprised by raw material or extractive solid, liquid or aeriform fuel, its main plant source is the crop such as corn, soja, sugar cane. Regard Xin Jin’s environmental protection as the sources of energy, biology fuel and crude oil are to replace a relation, then corresponding breed had the connection except manufacturing catenary with crude oil- – compete.
Crude oil is overall show now to drop trend, and experienced 2 times relatively substantially drop quickly, for the first time from June 2014 the middle ten days of a month begins, from June 2015 the 2nd times the last ten-day of a month begins. Similar, corn also is to drop situation, and have 2 times drop considerably, for the first time from May 2014 the first ten days of a month begins, from July 2015 the 2nd times the middle ten days of a month begins. Of both walk along situation and time place to have consistency.
Because corn is the important raw material of fuel alcohol,this is, 50% what take all produce raw material, having with crude oil replace a relation intuitionisticly. Crude price drops, the price of cooking wine essence also certainly will glides to just can assure market share, this with respect to be a burden on corn price, walk along situation hasten to be the same as.
Soya-bean oil and palm oil from 2014 second half of the year begins overall also show drop posture, and existence drops 2 times more apparent considerably. For the first time all from June 2014 the last ten-day of a month begins, part the 2nd times from July 2015 the middle ten days of a month is mixed the last ten-day of a month will begin in July. Reach with crude oil trend drop time place agrees basically.
Grease regards the add of help by the arm of biology derv as raw material, also show competitive concern with crude oil, so 3 person walk along situation hasten to be the same as.
Sugar price also appears dropping overall trend, and existence drops 2 times considerably. For the first time from June 2014 the last ten-day of a month begins, from July 2015 the 2nd times the first ten days of a month begins. Go with crude oil force is main consistent.
The reason with candy and crude oil similar trend is, sugar cane of the raw material that extract candy is one of raw material of fuel alcohol. When crude price drops, ethanol production decreases, more sugar cane turn and produce sugar, make sugar output increases, send the price to drop. So of candy and crude oil go up drop relatively synchronous also.
So corn, grease, candy suffers the effect that biology fuel and crude oil concern one layer this, the value is total the trend is relatively synchronous.
And, because the cost of biology fuel is relative taller, as crude oil price fall, biology fuel yields to be reduced generally also, this also reduced the wastage of produce, bring about inventory to accumulate, price of farther be a burden on.
Observation conclusion: Biology fuel suffers in syrup of embroil corn oil to drop#p#·ÖÒ³±êÌâ#e#
Forecast an analysis
Current, the look of the whole world whether is focusing met in crude oil on the message of reduction of output. Last week, the country such as sand spy, Venezuela, Russia comes to an agreement, freeze crude output the level on January 11, increase no longer.
Nevertheless, many analytic orgnaizations think, the level January 11 remains the crop perch of crude oil, this one agreement is afraid make crude oil true hard reduction of output.
And American oil consortium (API) in Beijing time on March 2 05: The 30 newest data that publish show, last week, stock of American crude oil soars 10 million pails. Message one, american WTI crude oil and Bulunte crude oil at once in pairs is immersed in more violent drop predicament, WTI crude oil drops even more 2% , bulunte crude oil drops even more 1.4% .
Just appear the oil price of the evidence that build a base will still drop possibly, the bottom line of oil price becomes unknown number again.
However, it is to drop likewise, the relation of crude oil and produce is producing a change stealthily. The personage inside course of study expresses, go one year half in, commissariat price runnings considerably beat crude price, grain price drops extent is far big without crude oil. This is compared with respect to the value that changed commissariat and crude oil. Will nearly 10 years wander at all the time 2 times low price comparing returned the level of 4 times.
In this process, the effect of the crude oil that corn, grease, candy gets is opposite at biology fuel firm arisen period wants little, price wave motion has independent character more, the supply demand relations of breed itself the influence to the price more highlight. So short-term inside the element of supply and demand that needs to pay close attention to breed itself.
Analytic conclusion: Crude oil does not have heart being fuel relevant produce has improvement hard
Epilogue
Crude oil steeps fall this drive corn, grease and sugar these a few kinds of produce breed synchronism related to biology fuel drop.
However, because crude price bottom line is ceaseless still by refresh, the market still does not cherish a hope to building a base, the price of produce be able to short when the absolutely control that casts off crude oil, turn and decide by oneself supply demand relations.
Nevertheless, place of begin of no less than says, crude oil serves as the dominant of heavy goods, every act still can affect whole market atmosphere, produce is not exceptional also. Plus the relation that replaces directly, will for a long time look, the corn, grease, candy produce related to biology fuel will continue to suffer crude oil effect, have hard rise continuously.